Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Week 6 Recap/Week 7 Preview/Power Rankings

Week 6: 5 Story Lines

1. Carolina Lions pulled off a major upset win over CLO and remain in 1st place in the UFL. 2012's runner up looks like he may have a shot at being in the race in 2013.

2. Matt Boles, welcome to the fantasy league. Boles made a big time trade snagging Marshall, won yet another game, oh and he named his team. Ooooohhhh Kill 'Em.

3. AFL may have a division race on its hands with CLO Collins dropping another game. CLO and Goon Squad are currently tied at 3-3 and Goon Squad has the slightly easier schedule. The Miami Sharks continued their insane scoring pace with their scoring total now up to 708 and are now on pace for 1,652 points.

4. Kory Adams needs Gronk back soon if he wants to have a chance at the playoffs in 2013.

5. The Purists with the Marshall trade added themselves to the short list of teams who are unofficially but pretty much officially out of the playoff race (GS, DK, Purists)

Current Playoff Picture

1. Miami Sharks 5-1
2. Carolina Lions 4-2
3. CLO Collins 3-3
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WILDCARD RACE
4. Ooooohhh Kill 'Em 4-1-1
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5. Scott's Tots 4-2 GB. 1/2
6. Super Manning 3-3 GB. 1.5
7. Kory Adams 2-3-1 GB. 2
8. Dynasty Kings 2-3-1 GB. 2
9. Goon Squad 2-4 GB. 2.5
10. BSL 2-4 GB. 2.5
11. Purists 2-4 GB. 2.5
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-4-1 GB. 3

 
Week 7 Match Up Preview
 
Gio's Odyssey 1-4-1 AT Miami Sharks 5-1 (-44)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Odyssey)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
The league's last place team is matched up with the league's first place team and this one has the potential to get ugly. The Sharks are averaging 118 points a game, while Gio's Odyssey is averaging 77. The good news for the Odyssey is that the Sharks will be without both Demarco Murray and all world tight end Jimmy Graham, the bad news is the talent gap is still too wide between these teams. While Gio's Odyssey could be very good in the future, the Sharks are scary good right now and will take this game 107-63.
Difference Maker: HB Jamaal Charles, Miami Sharks - Charles has had a red hot start to this season and Gio's Odyssey just doesn't have a player that can keep up with him.
 
 
 
 
 
Scott's Tots 4-2 AT Kory Adams 2-3-1 (+5)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kory)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
This is without a doubt a must win game for Kory Adams who has suffered an extremely disappointing start to the season. Kory is already losing a lot of ground in both his divisional race (2.5 GB) and the wildcard race (2 GB) and has a remaining schedule that has games against the Lions (4-2), CLO (3-3), Ohhh Kill 'Em (4-1-1), and the Miami Sharks (5-1) in 4 of the last 5 weeks. The Scott's Tots on the other hand have already surpassed their win total from last season and are in a first place tie in the UFL division. The Tots have an extremely solid line up top to bottom and are starting to become harder and harder to ignore in the playoff discussion. These teams match up pretty well and Kory may actually have the better team on paper if everyone was healthy and active but unfortunately, Brees and Sproles are on a BYE, and SJAX is highly doubtful to play this week and no one has any idea what's going on with the Gronk. Give me the Tots delivering a season crushing loss for Kory 95-90.
Difference Maker: Eddie Lacy, Scott's Tots - Lacy has turned into a solid HB2 this year and will be worlds ahead of whoever Kory has to end up putting in the position.

 
Goon Squad 2-4 AT Beat Skeet Leave 2-4 (+7)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 GS)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
While the previous game involved one team in a must win, thanks to the Goon Squad's heart breaking loss to Dynasty Kings, this game features two teams that are facing a must win. BSL is currently 2 games back of their division and 2.5 back of the wildcard and have no other option but to win this game. While Goon Squad could stay in good shape with a loss and a CLO loss they for all intensive purposes need to win this game to continue to have a real shot to overtake CLO in the AFL. Some could make the argument Andrew has already been dealt his death blow with Randall Cobb's injury but as fantasy has proven time and time again it's not over until it's over. I'll take Goon Squad to rebound and stay afloat in the division race 85-78.
Difference Maker: HB Ray Rice, Goon Squad - I trust Rice a lot more than I do CJ Spiller right now and that makes the difference for me in this intriguing must win match up.
 
 
Purists 2-4 AT Carolina Lions 4-2 (-17)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Lions)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
These two teams are perfect examples of how things can go so differently from preseason expectations. The Purists were supposed to be the 4-2 team with the Lions being 2-4 but things have changed. The Purists are firmly in the building for 2014 camp while the Lions are coming off their biggest win of the season (upsetting CLO) and could not have a better path to a 7-2 start (Purists, DK, GO). The funny thing is other than Arian Foster and Desean Jackson these two teams are pretty equal in their current starting line ups, but the Foster-DJAX duo obviously gives Luke the edge as he continues his quest for a 2nd consecutive division title beating the Purists 95-78.
Difference Maker: WR Eric Decker, Carolina Lions - Decker would be the number one receiver on the Purists depleted line up right now and is currently the number two receiver for Luke, that's good enough reasoning to take the Lions. 

 
 
Super Manning 3-3 AT Dynasty Kings 2-3-1 (+27)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 DK)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Super Manning looks like an elite team in every spot but two, the running back spots. Fortunately for him against the Kings this week that shouldn't matter. Peyton against Indy should yield big time fantasy points and Super Manning should honestly cruise to a win over the team that is somehow just a 1/2 game worse than them. Super Manning wins it 103-76.
Difference Maker: QB Peyton Manning, Super Manning - He's the guy, as he goes Super Manning goes, and Super Manning will go this week.
 
 
CLO Collins 3-3 AT Oooohhh Kill 'Em 4-1-1 (+2)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Boles)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
This could very well be a statement game for Boles and is no doubt the game of the week. While he has gotten off to a strong 4-1-1 start, a win over CLO would let everyone know he's for real. On the opposite end of the spectrum everyone is still backing CLO as a championship contender even with a .500 record so far. It appears TRich has done bad enough to actually get benched by CLO this week and with Megatron still battling a knee injury these teams on paper look about as equal as they could. Marshall, Welker, Nicks match up extremely well with Megatron, Dez, and Cruz, while Brady and Stafford aren't too far off considering their match ups this week, Reggie Bush and LeSean McCoy are close with McCoy getting a slight nod, while Gonzalez and Vernon are close with Vernon getting the slight nod. So what makes the difference? Frank Gore has a significant edge over Willis McGahee. Give me CLO just barely 106-104.
Difference Maker: HB Frank Gore, CLO Collins - Old reliable has turned out to be a much better option than Trich so far.
 
 
Power Rankings Week #7
 
1. Miami Sharks 5-1 Prv. #1A - Even after getting hit hard by the injury bug the Sharks have kept trucking along, it's hard to see this team falling from this spot anytime soon.
 
2. Oooohhh Kill 'Em 4-1-1 Prv. #8 - Okay, it's time to admit it, Matt Boles team is for real. Adding Marshall to the team and the way Vernon Davis performed last week has Boles' team turning heads. They are a real championship competitor and deserve their number 2 ranking on this list.
 
3. CLO Collins 3-3 Prv. #1B - Can't drop CLO much lower, the team is still just too talented and with Goon Squad dropping a gimme game to the Dynasty Kings, it seems like the division is being gift wrapped to him.
 
4. Carolina Lions 4-2 Prv. #7 - The Lions don't have as an elite roster as the three teams ahead of them but there is no arguing with results and the Lions are my big time favorite to win the UFL due to their remaining schedule if nothing else. I just don't see how they could finish worse than 9-5 on the year and if they continue to take care of business in the division they could be even better than that. Foster the man almost dealt is the key to this team and their title hopes.
 
5. Super Manning 3-3 Prv. #5 - Peyton Manning is playing out of his mind this year and it's a shame Super Manning can't find any halfback production. Hate to bring up the past but if they could have completed a deal for Foster (a deal that was essentially done) they may very well be a top 2 team right now. Even with the current roster they are firmly in the division and wildcard race. Would still consider making a godfather type offer for a halfback.
 
6. Scott's Tots 4-2 Prv. #4 - Extremely balanced and solid team, continue to churn out wins. Should be even better in 2014 with Julio Jones added to the line up.
 
7. Kory Adams 2-3-1 Prv. #3 - If/When Gronk comes back this team will be one of the most talented in the league, but will it be too late?
 
8. Goon Squad 2-4 Prv. #6 - Missed a big time opportunity this past week can't imagine how sick he is. Still only one game back in the division and with a stout running back duo there is still a glimmer of hope for the man they call Tick.
 
9. Beat Skeet Leave 2-4 Prv. #9 - Unfortunately it seems as though the slow start from Spiller and now the devastating injury to Randall Cobb have doomed this team's 2013 chances. Still with a solid core of Ryan, Morris, Spiller, Cobb, Garcon, BSL should be back in the contending mix in 2014.
 
10. Purists 2-4 Prv. #10 - Hard year for the Purists but still have a ton of good young talent, the fortunes should turn for this franchise sometime in the next year or two but 2013 is all about seeing if Lamar Miller emerges and what he is working with for 2014.
 
11. Dynasty Kings 2-3-1 Prv. #11 - Somehow this team is just barely under .500. While that is not sustainable for 2013, this team has the potential to have a flat out sick roster by the end of the 2014 draft.
 
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-4-1 Prv. #12 - The bad news, no shot in 2013, the good news it looks like John may have two potential solid HB's for the future, a position where it seems like everyone is struggling to find production. This would give the Odyssey a very promising future starting as soon as next year.

 


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