Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Week 10 Review/Week 11 Preview

                                                                                       Week 10: Top 5 Story Lines

1. I Don't Get Tired does not lose. This is the second time this year they went into a Monday Night game looking like underdogs with Sproles left vs another "better" Eagle player left for their opponent. The first time in week 2 vs the Miami Sharks, Sproles dominated putting up 23 points compared to McCoy's 15 to get the W, now this week Sproles put up 13 while the formerly red hot Maclin put up 3. Don't even get me started on that Cardinal's Defense, bottom line is this team seems to be a team of destiny four wins away from an undefeated regular season.

2. It looks like three of the playoff teams are pretty much locked in, I Don't Get Tired, Scott's Tots, and Super Manning. Two of those three will be making their first ever postseason trip while Scott's Tots will be making their 2nd trip tying Miami Sharks, CLO, and Lions for most all time.

3. The AFL Division race has the potential to get all kinds of crazy. If CLO Collins gets the W this week over Goonsquad and Red Rockets takes care of business against the Purist the division race could look like this (depending on points) 1. Red Rockets 6-5...2. Goonsquad 6-5...3. CLO 5-6. More to come on this later.

4. Over the past few weeks the Miami Sharks officially hit the rebuild button shown by their trades of Foster, Graham, Jeffery, and Lynch for youth and future picks. One thing is for sure we will have a new champion for 2014.

5. Machine Marshall after finding wins over the Lions and Sharks in recent weeks only needs one more win to avoid setting the new record for worst regular season and instead just tie the '12 Tots mark.


PLAYOFF PICTURE

1. (Y) I Don't Get Tired (10-0) - Having already clinched the division and three games ahead of their closest competitor this team is a virtual lock to be the #1 seed. The thing everyone wants to know is...can they go undefeated? They have two big time match ups left in the regular season that will test them with games against the Rockets and Tots then of course potentially two huge match ups in the playoffs. Can a 14-0 be done? Can a 16-0 be done?

2. Scott's Tots (7-3) - A year after breaking out it looks like the Tots will be making a return trip to the dance with a record somewhere between 9-5 and 11-3. The regular season question for the Tots becomes can they hold on to this division and avoid having to match up with I Don't Get Tired in round 1 of the playoffs. The playoff question becomes can Taylor Ray a fantasy owner notorious for his good regular season teams and lack of titles finally break through and make some noise in the post season?

3. Port City Goonsquad (6-4) - Holding on to that division lead for dear life and this week their grip will be severely tested when a good finally getting right CLO team comes to town. Don't get me wrong Goonsquad has a very nice roster in their own right, but a division that once seemed wrapped up is very much up in the air. If they can't find a way to beat CLO and/or the Tots next week then this thing is going to go right down to the wire. Even if they split the next two games and go 9-5 the Rockets could win out and bring it down to a point tiebreaker. However if they go 9-5 they are most likely safe, it's a fall to 8-6 that would really open things up.

4. Super Manning (7-3) - Have to give credit where credit is due, unlike 2013 this year Super Manning has really stepped up on the trade front and surrounded Peyton and DT with some solid halfbacks in Lynch and once he gets back R.Jennings. Phil seems like a lock for his first postseason appearance and although Lynch/R.Jennings don't have very favorable playoff match ups, you have to think a team with Peyton and DT has a chance to win against anyone any given Sunday and perhaps bring home the title.

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5. Red Rockets (5-5) - There really isn't much hope for a Wildcard berth for any of the teams on the outside looking in, but that's perfectly fine for the Red Rockets as they're only gunning for one thing...the AFL Division crown. If he can survive against the Purists this week he could theoretically be running out a Bell/Gio/Gordon/Dez/A.Brown/JT squad for his playoff push. That is the type of team that can go on a late season run and not stop running until it has captured Ultimate Dynasty Bowl III.

6. Miami Sharks (5-5) - Still mathematically alive but it's clear this team is not meant for the 2014 postseason.

7. CLO Collins (4-6) - Left for dead a week ago they are now fully back into the playoff mix. This is another team that if they could just get in you could see them walking away with Ultimate Dynasty Bowl III. However the margin for error is insanely small for CLO, he must win out while hoping Goonsquad drops one other game and that he can surpass them in points (they currently lead by 48) or that they lose 3 out of their last 4. It would be a truly remarkable feat for this team to punch a ticket to the postseason but hope is alive. 


PREDICTION: I Don't Get Tired finishes at 13-1 dropping a game to the Red Rockets but retaining the #1 seed with ease...Super Manning takes the 2 seed winning out to go 11-3...CLO Collins finishes 8-6 after a dramatic sweep of the Red Rockets on the final week of the regular season and manages to surpass Goondsquad in points to make their record 3rd consecutive trip to the postseason where they feature McCoy/Charles/Peterson/Mega...Tots finish at 10-4 and easily secure the wildcard spot.


Five Trades that should be considered by the deadline (Tough as top teams competing have few holes this year)

1. BSL trades HB Alfred Morris to Scott's Tots for HB Devonta Freeman, TE Tyler Eifert, 2016 1st, 2016 2nd, (2) 2017 1sts. 

Reasoning: Don't know if BSL would actually part ways with their solid, 26 in December, HB2. However I'd think this trade would at least have them considering it. While Tots reasoning is obvious they need runningback depth for the playoffs and giving up those picks would be more than worth it if it gets them the title. In the end I don't think BSL would pull the trigger but you never know.

2. Dynasty Kings trades QB Tom Brady to Red Rockets for 2015 2nd and 2017 1st.

Reasoning: These past few weeks is not who Roethlisberger is, Brady is a legit QB1 and gets the Jets in the opening round of the post season. DK on the other hand will most likely not be firing on all cylinders until Brady has aged out so why not secure a couple picks for a guy you snagged on waivers.

3. Dynasty Kings trades QB Tom Brady, HB Denard Robinson, and WR Brandon Marshall to Scott's Tots for 2016 1st (DK), (2) 2017 1sts, HB Devonta Freeman and TE Tyler Eifert. 

Reasoning: I'm not entirely sure why this trade or something like it hasn't been done yet. As previously mentioned Brady gets the Jets in round 1 of the playoffs (while Russell gets SF). Denard Robinson gives some much needed halfback depth and has a greater than 1% chance of holding on to that job next year. Add in BMarsh as another flex option/depth if anything happened to Julio and Jordy and I don't know why Taylor Ray isn't picking up his phone and making the call right now. This could be the deal that makes the difference in another first round exit or an Ultimate Dynasty Bowl III appearance. 

4. Machine Marshall trades HB Joique Bell to Goonsquad for (2) 2016 2nds.

Reasoning: Goonsquad can definitely use the halfback depth while Machine Marshall could use any kind of future help as they currently boast HB Mark Ingram and WR Martavis Bryant surrounded by enough trash to make Oscar the Grouch blush (the guy lives in a garbage can).

5. Carolina Lions trade HB Justin Forsett to Goonsquad for (2) 2016 2nds.

Reasoning: Again Goonsquad can definitely us the halfback depth while the Lions would do well to get (2) future 2nds for a guy that will almost certainly not be the lead back in 2015.


Current Draft Order
(1st and 2nd rounds)

    1st Round

1. Dynasty Kings (FROM MM)
2. Dynasty Kings (FROM Pur)
3. Dynasty Kings (FROM BSL)
4. Dynasty Kings (FROM Lions)
5. Dynasty Kings
6. Dynasty Kings (FROM CLO)
7. Dynasty Kings (FROM Sharks)
8. BSL (FROM RR)
9. Dynasty Kings (FROM SM)
10. Dynasty Kings (FROM GS)
11. Purists (FROM Tots)
12. Dynasty Kings (FROM IDGT)

    2nd Round

13. Dynasty Kings (FROM MM)
14. Miami Sharks (FROM Pur)
15. Purists (FROM BSL)
16. Miami Sharks (FROM Lions)
17. Dynasty Kings
18. IDGT (FROM CLO)
19. Miami Sharks
20. Miami Sharks (FROM RR)
21. Miami Sharks (FROM SM)
22. Purists (FROM GS)
23. Red Rockets (FROM Tots)
24. IDGT


PICKS THIS WEEK

Super Manning easily over Miami Sharks
Scott's Tots exercise their demons and win over Carolina Lions
Red Rockets over Purists to stay alive
CLO Collins over Goonsquad to bring hope to himself and the people of Rocket land
I Don't Get Tired over Dynasty Kings for historic 11-0.
BSL over Machine Marshall in a game with practically no playoff implications or meaning other than pride.