Friday, December 27, 2013

2014 Preview

Just as one season comes to a close, thoughts of the next season are already on the minds of most of the dynasty owners. So who has the best shot to take home Ultimate Dynasty Bowl III? Let's have a look...





1. Miami Sharks (9-5) - 2 Straight titles and a roster featuring Charles/Stacy/Gordon/Jeffrey/Graham, as of now it looks like the Sharks will be the heavy favorite to be playing in a 3rd consecutive Ultimate Dynasty Bowl.

2. Scott's Tots (11-2-1) - The team that everyone thought lacked super stars this past season is now adding a big time star to the line up in Julio Jones. He'll go into 2014 with solid depth and potentially 2 HB1's and 3 WR1's.

3. Kory Adams (5-8-1) - Stud QB, check...Stud WR, check...Stud TE, check...Solid HB, check. This team if Gronk can come back healthy could potentially be the biggest threat to the Sharks and their potential 3-Peat.

4. Super Mannings (7-6-1) - Missed the playoffs by one game and squandered an all time season by Peyton, but the Super Mannings are built as a potential win-now juggernaut especially with a trade or two. As long as Peyton comes back next year and Mathews strong finish to the season was not a fluke then Phil will be in prime position to make up for a lost 2013.

5. Dynasty Kings (6-7-1) - What a difference a year makes, the acquiring of McCoy and Harvin has this team with a potentially top trio of backs (McCoy/Foster/Tate) depending on where Tate ends up and how Foster comes back and some nice receiver options (Harvin/Allen/Floyd). A definite potential competitor in 2014.

6. CLO Collins (8-6) - While boosting their future, the trading of McCoy definitely weakened their line up and has them relying on aging or ineffective players at the halfback position for 2014. However you have to think Rodgers/Peterson/Mega/Cruz will be good enough to still walk away with the AFL division crown without breaking too much of a sweat.

7.  Carolina Lions (9-5) - I don't really know how they do it but I do know there are a lot of variables with this roster. A lot will depend on the landing spots of Moreno, R.Jennings, Ridley?, and Decker, the biggest of these being he needs Moreno to stay in Denver.

8. Beat Skeet Leave (4-10) - Last place in 2013, but brings back a roster that should be considered a solid competitor. Spiller/Morris/Cobb/Garcon is still a pretty dang solid core, they just need CJ Spiller to get back on track and all of a sudden this team will be one you don't want to see lined up against you on Sundays.

9. Goon Squad (5-9) - Showed some signs of promise this past year and has a solid trio to build around (Luck/Lynch/Bryant). Probably need to make a few deals and guess right on a few players to truly be a strong competitor but the good news for him is his division is definitely weakening, while his team is strengthening. Definitely a sleeper pick to knock CLO off his perch in the AFL.

10. Ohhh Kill 'Em (7-6-1) - What a run they had in 2013 proving all the doubters wrong and proving they belong in this league. The only problem for 2014 is this old team is going to be another year older and I think they need to make a few moves to really be considered a contender in 2014.

11. Gio's Odyssey (4-9-1) - 2013 was a big time step in the right direction RG3/Bernard/Bell/Torrey is definitely something to build around. If they can hit on a rookie this year and have a couple more of their young guys (Austin/Ball) to emerge this team can be a big time threat by late 2014 early 2015.

12. Purists (6-8) - It takes a good owner to be able to realize when it is time to pull the trigger and rebuild. Ant has done just that, acquiring (3) 1st round picks while still having plenty of solid young guys (Newton/Martin/Miller/Wright/JT) to build around. It may be a rough 2014 depending on how Martin bounces back and depending on what happens to his once promising young duo of backs in Miller and Wilson. While 2014 may be a step back for the Purists the future looks bright if he can do well with these picks.

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

MIAMI SHARKS REPEAT!

Well folks the league's 2nd season has come to a close and the Miami Sharks are once again Ultimate Dynasty Champs!

Friday, December 20, 2013

THE REMATCH: Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II Preview

Last year the Ultimate Dynasty Bowl started on a Saturday, December 22nd and now it will take place on Sunday, December 22nd, exactly one year later. This however is not where the similarities end, not by a long shot. As you all know by now Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II not only falls on the same date as last year's title game, but features the exact same teams as last season. That's right, it's a rematch. This is unprecedented, I've been playing fantasy since 2005 and yeah I've seen some teams repeat or make the title game two years in a row, but I have never seen the exact same two teams play in the championship game in two consecutive seasons it's just unreal. Let's take a quick look at this from a mathematical perspective, every year there are sixty-six different possible championship match ups, so every year any particular match up of teams has about a 1.5% chance of being the Ultimate Dynasty Bowl match up, if those odds weren't low enough, the odds of having the same match up two years in a row are something like 1 in 4,356 or about .023%. Now that everyone has an understanding of just how special this is, lets dive in and see if we should expect the Sharks to repeat or the Lions to get it done this time and capture their first title. 

How they got here: Miami Sharks - A preseason favorite ranked 1B in the opening power rankings, stayed at or near the top of the power rankings and league all year long setting the new regular season scoring record. They lost Julio in week 5, but were still able to get off to a 6-1 start. It was from there, that deals had to be made shipping the injured Julio and later AJG off the team in attempts to improve for a playoff run. After starting 6-1, the Sharks finished 3-4 and actually had their playoff spot in jeopardy as late as week 13, but the Sharks confidence never wavered. After defeating Kory Adams in the final week of the season the Sharks finished 9-5 and snagged the 2 seed and a date against big time rival and co-preseason favorite CLO Collins in the divisional round. In the early going in the 1 o'clock games it looked like the Sharks repeat run may be coming to an end thanks to a -5 defense play and CLO's team looking strong, that's when Jamaal Charles busted on to the scene seemingly scoring at will and posting 51 points and along with Stacy giving the Sharks a substantial cushion heading into MNF, while it was still a possibility for CLO to come back a signature Staff-Mega performance was not to be and the Sharks punched their ticket to a second consecutive Ultimate Dynasty Bowl. 

How they got here: Carolina Lions - Coming into 2013 no one expected the Lions to compete for a playoff spot, let alone be a championship contender (as reflected by their #10 slot in the power rankings), but after a season filled with highs and lows the Lions once again find themselves one win away from greatness. Looking at their 2013 season the Lions managed to start out 4-2 with two big wins over Tots, a win over Super Manning, and a win over CLO and were turning heads. With an upcoming stretch of Purists, DK, and Gio it looked as if they were destined for a 7-2 start, but they face planted dropping the first two games of that set falling to 4-4. It was at this point the Lions looked to be building for the future dealing Foster for a bevy of picks, this lasted about a couple hours before the owner Luke Zente said screw it he was going for it all right now and dealt essentially (7) 1st round picks in various years to acquire Chiefs D and Knowshon Moreno. This sparked the Lions to a 5-1 finish including a four game win streak to end the regular season and an insane victory in a win-and-in game in week 14 vs Super Mannings. They were then matched up against the 1 seed Scott's Tots and proceeded to defeat them for the 3rd time this season winning 111-95 with an explosive performance from DJAX. The Lions for the 2nd consecutive year toppled a heavy favorite in the divisional round to make it back to the big game. 

#4 Carolina Lions 9-5 VS #2 Miami Sharks 9-5 
All Time H2H Regular Season (2-0)
All Time H2H Post Season (1-0)

Miami Sharks QB: Jay Cutler - In Trestman's offense going up against an Eagle's pass D that just got lit up by Matt Cassel, Cutler makes for a superb QB1 starter this week. 

Carolina Lions QB: Tony Romo - Not fantastic in his previous start against Washington, but Washington's pass D and overall team is horrible, Romo has some upside here if this game can turn into a shootout.

Edge: QB Jay Cutler, Miami Sharks
Miami Sharks HB: Jamaal Charles - After lighting up the Raiders for 51, he gets another plus match up with the Colts and should find plenty of room to run. 
Carolina Lions HB: Knowshon Moreno - Although Ball has been eating into his carries more and more, Moreno is still a rock solid HB1 and arguably the leader of the Carolina Lions. 

Edge: HB Jamaal Charles, Miami Sharks
Miami Sharks HB: Zac Stacy - Have a semi tough match up going against Tampa Bay but consistently getting 20+ touches makes Zac Stacy a solid start. 

Carolina Lions HB: Rashad Jennings - Ran very well against the Chiefs, shouldn't have much trouble with the Chargers run D. 

Edge: HB Rashad Jennings, Carolina Lions


Miami Sharks FLEX: Fred Jackson - Ran well last week against the Jags but still a committee back not worth getting overly excited about. A pretty good flex play but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't considering Hunter.

Carolina Lions FLEX: Stevan Ridley - Probably the best option on the Lions' roster for a flex and he's a great runner it all depends on how much Belicheck lets him play. 

Edge: FLEX Fred Jackson, Miami Sharks 
Miami Sharks WR: Josh Gordon - On fire as of late, and completely capable of going off for 200 yards any Sunday especially against this depleted Jets' secondary.

Carolina Lions WR: Desean Jackson - Really came to play last week and gets a dream match up with the Bears coming up, he's a locked in WR1. 
Edge: WR Josh Gordon, Miami Sharks

Miami Sharks WR: Keenan Allen - Going up against a putrid Raiders D, Keenan Allen should continue his ROY pace. 

Carolina Lions WR: Eric Decker - Capable of just going off or finishing a game with 40 yards, I think we'll see somewhere in between on Sunday. 

Edge: WR Eric Decker, Carolina Lions
Miami Sharks TE: Jimmy Graham - The number one tight end matches up against a team that struggles defending the tight end and gave up two TD's to him last time they met. 

Carolina Lions TE: Heath Miller - Sturdy if unexciting tight end who could have a nice day in a potential shootout against Green Bay.

Edge: TE Jimmy Graham, Miami Sharks
Miami Sharks D: Cleveland Browns - Matching up against the Jets, the Browns have a high floor and a high ceiling

Carolina Lions D: Kansas City Chiefs - The number one D in fantasy, not an ideal match up but no way you can sit them. 

Edge: D Cleveland Browns, Miami Sharks
Miami Sharks K: Nick Novak - There will be some scoring in the Chargers/Raiders game and hopefully a few field goal opportunities for Novak and the Chargers 

Carolina Lions K: Phil Dawson - Premier option at kicker

Edge: K Phil Dawson, Carolina Lions

The Pick: In a hard fought match up and one that could come down to Sunday Night give me the Miami Sharks to finish off the repeat 122-99. 

Monday, December 16, 2013

Miami Sharks Back to the Big Game to Defend Title!

The Miami Sharks are going back to the bowl to defend their title after knocking off CLO Collins 119-80! They did this on the back of Jamaal Charles historic 51 point performance, which owner Michael Gibson could only describe as a gift from God. The Sharks are now matched up against the same foe they defeated to win Ultimate Dynasty Bowl I and the question now becomes can they finish off the repeat? 

Carolina Lions Punch Ticket to Ultimate Dynasty Bowl for 2nd Consecutive Season!

New team name, new year, a whole heck of a lot of roster turnover...same result. Luke Zente and his squad are Ultimate Dynasty Bowl bound for the 2nd straight year after toppling the #1 seed Scott's Tots for the third time this year 111-95. Now that he's made it back to the big game Luke just hopes his Lions have a different ending and can win Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II after coming up short last season. CONGRATULATIONS to Luke Zente and the Carolina Lions and good luck on capturing your first ever Ultimate Dynasty Bowl championship!

Sunday, December 8, 2013

Week 13 Recap/Week 14 Preview

Week 13: Top 5 Story Lines

1. Eric Decker, Eric Decker, Eric Decker, Eric Decker. His four touchdowns on Sunday saved the Lions season (and potentially the Sharks) and ruined Ohh Kill 'Ems. Thanks to Decker the Carolina Lions now play in a win and in game week 14 for the wildcard.

2. 158!? The Dynasty Kings a week after posting 48 were able to tie the all time scoring record and upset their main rival the Miami Sharks. This team has a bright future starting perhaps in 2014.

3. Super Manning wasn't able to topple the Tots but they were able to tie them which in the playoff scheme of things doesn't mean much but it makes for an interesting stat. The Tots are 9-0 vs everyone else except the Lions (0-2) and Super Manning (1-0-1) going a combined 1-2-1, so if a team has a shot to upset the Tots in the postseason it's these two wildcard hopefuls.

4. The Miami Sharks (1408) and CLO Collins (1374) both passed the single season scoring record (Tots and Super Manning both have shots to pass it as well but no shot to set the new record). It will be interesting to see who after week 14 will have set the new mark and what that mark will be, is an absurd 1500 possible?

5. Gio's Odyssey is going to need a huge game to avoid making history for the wrong reasons, they currently have 949 points with the lowest single season of all time being 1,055 by '12 Goonsquad so they need to have a 107 point week at least.

Current Playoff Picture
1. Scott's Tots 10-2-1
2. Miami Sharks 8-5
3. CLO Collins 8-5
4. Carolina Lions 8-5
--------------------------------------
5. Super Manning 7-5-1 GB. 1/2

Thoughts: This is simple now, week 14 is essentially a play-in game and the playoffs for the Lions and Super Manning starts now. Whoever wins will be in as the #4 seed and will play #1 seed Scott's Tots in round 1. If they tie Carolina Lions would obviously get the #4 seed. The other divisional round game is set with a pair of preseason favorites facing off, current #2 seed Miami Sharks going against current #3 seed CLO Collins, all that's left to decide is who will be what seed (which plays some importance because if there is a tie in the playoffs the higher seed advances).

2014 Draft Positions
1. Dynasty Kings (Via BSL 4-9)
2. Dynasty Kings (Via GS 4-9)
3. Dynasty Kings (Via Gio 4-8-1)
4. Gio's Odyssey (Via Pur 5-8)
5. Miami Sharks (Via Kory 5-7-1)
6. Purists (Via DK 6-6-1)
7. BSL (Via OK 6-6-1)
8. Gio's Odyssey (Via SM 7-5-1)
9. Dynasty Kings (Via L 8-5)*
10. Miami Sharks (Via CLO 8-5)*
11. Miami Sharks 8-5*
12. Miami Sharks (Via Tots 10-2-1)*

*= Subject to playoff results

Thoughts: With GS playing Gio one of them is guaranteed a loss or tie sealing the #1 pick for Dynasty Kings. Gio's Odssey could end up picking as high as #2 but the most likely scenario is BSL loses and one of GS or Gio wins which would allow Gio's pick (via Purists (if they lose against CLO)) to land at #3. The Miami Sharks have the ability to keep their pick top 5 as long as they beat Kory this week, there is a slight chance for top 4 if Purists can win as well but this is not likely. Purists-BSL draft position will be determined by DK and OK game deciding who picks 6 or 7 with a slight chance one could move up to 5th. Gio's current 8 pick and Dynasty Kings 9 pick will be completely determined by the Super Manning/Lions game with no upside to move any higher than 8.


BOTTOM LINE Week 14 is all about Super Manning VS Carolina Lions...I think this is going to be an extremely tight game...I'm taking the Lions 101-100. 





Thursday, November 21, 2013

Week 11 Recap/Week 12 Preview/Power Rankings

Week 11: Top 5 Story Lines

1. Attention Ultimate Dynasty League, Scott's Tots barring a catastrophic melt down is your #1 seed.

2. With that being said, after completing a deal for Adrian Peterson, CLO Collins may be the Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II favorite.

3. Super Manning, Carolina Lions, and Dynasty Kings with a little help from Goonsquad have kept their wildcard dreams alive and are now all 1/2-1 game back of Ohh Kill 'Em.

4. The Sharks have one of the better rosters in the league already and thanks to some wheeling and dealing on trade deadline they will be adding (4) 1st round players to their squad this offseason.

5. It was good to see both the Goonsquad and BSL hold firm and not succumb to selling one of their valuable pieces (Lynch, Dez, Morris) as both teams could return the same rosters in 2014 and have very different seasons. The talent is there for these two, the luck just wasn't in 2013.

Current Playoff Picture (3 Games Left)
1. Scott's Tots 9-2
2. CLO Collins 7-4
3. Miami Sharks 7-4
4. Ohh Kill 'Em 6-4-1
-----------------------------------
5. Super Manning 6-5 GB. 1/2
6. Carolina Lions 6-5 GB. 1/2
7. Dynasty Kings 5-5-1 GB. 1
8. Purists 5-6 GB. 1.5
9. Kory Adams 4-6-1 GB. 2
10. Goonsquad 4-7 GB. 2.5

Clinched: 1) Scott's Tots have clinched a playoff spot (with SM and L playing one is guaranteed a loss which would guarantee Tots would finish in front of them or if they tie Tots would be guaranteed to win the division)

Eliminated: 1) Gio's Odyssey and Beat Skeet Leave are both eliminated from playoff contention. 2) Goonsquad has been eliminated from AFL contention and 1-3 seed contention.

Playoff Clinching/Elimination Scenarios: Clinching 1) IF Scott's Tots Wins OR (Lions and SM Lose) then Scott's Tots clinches the UFL Division and at least a 3 seed. 2) IF Scott's Tots Wins AND Sharks or CLO Collins Lose would clinch at least a 2 seed. 3) IF Scott's Tots Wins AND Sharks AND CLO Collins Lose then Tots would clinch the 1 seed. 4) IF CLO Collins Wins OR Purists Lose then he will clinch the AFL Division. 5) IF Miami Sharks Win AND Super Manning AND Lions AND Dynasty Kings Lose then they would clinch a playoff spot (barring a crazy comeback in points by Super Manning).
Elimination 1) IF Goonsquad Lose OR Ohh Kill 'Em Wins then they would be eliminated from playoff contention. 2) IF Kory Adams Lose AND Ohh Kill 'Em or Super Manning or Carolina Lions Win then Kory would be eliminated from playoff contention. 3) IF Purists Lose And Ohh Kill 'Em or Super Manning or Carolina Lions Win then they would be eliminated from playoff contention. 4) IF Dynasty Kings Lose AND Ohh Kill 'Em Win then Kings would be eliminated from playoff contention due to points.


3. Miami Sharks (7-4): Purists, DK, KA
4. Ohh Kill 'Em (6-4-1): KA, Lions, DK
5. Super Manning (6-5): CLO, Tots, Lions
6. Carolina Lions (6-5): G.Squad, OK, SM
7. Dynasty Kings (5-5-1): Gio, Sharks, OK

Thoughts: The Tots are a lock for the #1 seed and will be playing in the 1st round against whoever secures the wildcard. CLO Collins is a lock for winning the AFL Division and playing against the winner of the NFL Division in the 1st round. The Miami Sharks are not a lock for the division but they are for all intensive purposes a pretty sure bet for the playoffs needing only to win one game out of three and having Super Manning, Lions, and Dynasty Kings drop 1 of their next three to punch a ticket, or if they just win 2 out of their final 3 they'd be pretty secure. Ohh Kill 'Em is about to face its toughest test playing fellow wildcard contenders Lions and Dynasty Kings in 2 out of the next 3 weeks. The Wildcard race could easily come down to week 14. The Wildcard competitors need Boles to drop at least his game to either Kory Adams or Lions to have a shot though, they can't have Ohh Kill 'Em be at 8-4-1 with one game to go or they will have no shot (barring SM sweeping his games, or the Sharks dropping off big time)

PICKS:
I don't have time to write game overviews this week so I'm just going to go down the list and make my picks.

- I like the Sharks over the Purists 107-82.
- I'm tempted to take BSL in an upset but I've gotta go Tots 98-94.
- Give me the Dynasty Kings 87-71 over an improving Gio team. 
- This is real interesting if Lynch was healthy this would be a no brainer pick for the GS but hey they've still got the Rainey I'll take the Goonsquad 105-92 due to their better receivers. Thursday night will go a long way in this one (PT and Roddy)
- This is about to be an awesome match up that starts Thursday night and may not be decided until Monday night Give me CLO Collins 100-99.
- Possibly no Welker leaves this game open just a crack for Kory Adams but with no AJG I'll take Ohh Kill 'Em 91-83.


Power Rankings Week #12

1A. CLO Collins 7-4 Prv. #3 - While Tray and the Tots will claim I'm not giving them the respect they deserve (and they're probably right) it's just hard to put a team with Stafford, Peterson, McCoy, Gore, Mega, Cruz any lower than #1. 

1B. Scott's Tots 9-2 Prv. #1B - Excluding the Carolina Lions games, the Scott's Tots are undefeated against the rest of the Ultimate Dynasty League. Boasting an extremely balanced team they are a true championship contender.

3. Miami Sharks 7-4 Prv. #1A - While it can be argued this team weakened their starting line up a little bit at the deadline, they are still plenty strong enough to be in the title conversation albeit just no longer at the forefront of the discussion.

4. Ohh Kill 'Em 6-4-1 Prv. #4 - Fresh off a blow out this team is still solid and the wildcard leader. Brady, R.Bush, CJ?K, Marshall, Welker, V.Davis can get a fantasy W for you any given Sunday and he would have a solid shot against the #1 seed Tots.

5. Super Manning 6-5 Prv. #5 - A daunting schedule coming up this team seems likely to have to live with the thought of what could have been if they would have had a solid runningback to go with Manning's record breaking season. 

6. Carolina Lions 6-5 Prv. #6 - They're up, they're down. When they're up though they are talented enough at every position to give anyone a scare. Probably the best bet to steal Boles' playoff spot.

7. Dynasty Kings 5-5-1 Prv. #10 - Big win last week and they are somehow getting solid production from every position (even Donald Brown is balling out). They could get in with some luck but 2014 looks like the year the Kings will start being a real threat. 

8. Goonsquad 4-7 Prv. #9 - Honestly if I wasn't factoring records in to this they would be pushing for top 4, this roster is pretty sick with a Luck, Lynch, Dez core. They've shown flashes this year gone for 130+ points twice, 115+ 4 times, and 100+ 5 times. 

9. Purists 5-6 Prv. #7 - Wait till next year is becoming the moniker of the Purists but this team should be better in 2014 (healthy Cam Newton, Doug Martin, Percy Harvin, Julius Thomas is a solid core) unfortunately for them barring some trading it looks like they are still hoping for Lamar or David Wilson to step up and be that number two runner.

10. Kory Adams 4-6-1 Prv. #8 - Brees, Murray, AJG, VJax, Blackmon?, Gronk this team has potential to have a major bounce back year.

11. Beat Skeet Leave 3-8 Prv. #12 - Morris/Spiller/Cobb/Garcon should have them being a lot more competitive in 2014.

12. Gio's Odyssey 2-8-1 Prv. #11 - RG3, Gio, Bell, Torrey, Austin with (3) 2014 1sts, don't expect Gio to stay in this cellar forever, with a strong draft this team will have potential to be the real deal soon.





3. 

Thursday, November 14, 2013

Week 10 Recap/Week 11 Preview/Power Rankings

Week 10: Top 5 Story Lines

1. It wasn't pretty but Ohhh Kill 'Em got their biggest win of the year (led by BMarsh) beating the division rival Sharks and taking a 1.5 game lead on the Wildcard race, while also pulling within a 1/2 game of the division. Something many never thought would happen in the history of the league could be happening in 2013, Matt Boles could be playoff bound.

2. Scott's Tots kept rolling along with a win over DK for their 6th straight victory. They are now 8-2 and in sole possession of first place heading into this week's big time showdown with the Sharks.

3. With their win over the Purists, CLO Collins essentially wrapped up the AFL Division taking a one game lead that is essentially a 2 game lead due to the point differentials with 4 games to go.

4. The Sharks (1,065) and CLO Collins (1,062) have both now passed the 1K point marker and with four games to go it's only a matter of time until the most points scored in a single season record by the '12 Kings (1,332) is replaced. The Sharks need only to average 66.75 ppg over the last 4 while CLO needs to average 67.5 the record is as good as gone, the only question now is who will set the new mark?

5. While many in the wildcard world took a big hit with Boles win on Sunday, these teams seasons are effectively over (although 2 are not official just yet). BSL, GS, and Gio's Odyssey can all start preparing for 2014.

Current Playoff Picture (4 Games Left)
1. Scott's Tots 8-2
2. Miami Sharks 7-3
3. CLO Collins 6-4
4. Ohh Kill 'Em 6-3-1
------------------------------
5. Super Manning 5-5 GB. 1.5
6. Carolina Lions 5-5 GB. 1.5
7. Purists 5-5 GB. 1.5
8. Kory Adams 4-5-1 GB. 2
9. Dynasty Kings 4-5-1 GB. 2
10. Goonsquad 3-7 GB. 3.5
11. Beat Skeet Leave 3-7 GB. 3.5

Clinched/Eliminated: 1) Gio's Odyssey has been eliminated from wildcard contention. 2) Beat Skeet Leave has been eliminated from UFL Division contention. 3) Goonsquad has been eliminated from 1 or 2 seed contention. 4) BSL has been eliminated from 1,2, or 3 seed contention obviously due to not being able to win their division.

Playoff Clinching/Eliminating Scenarios: 1) IF Scott's Tots WIN AND Lions LOSE AND Super Manning LOSE, Scott's Tots would clinch the UFL Division title.
2) IF Scott's Tots WIN AND (Super Manning or Lions) LOSE, then Scott's Tots would clinch a playoff spot.
3) IF BSL LOSE OR Ohh Kill 'Em WIN then BSL would be eliminated from playoff contention.
4) IF GS LOSE OR Ohh Kill 'Em WIN then GS would be eliminated from playoff contention.
5) IF DK LOSE AND (Miami Sharks or Ohh Kill 'Em) WIN then DK would be eliminated from NFL division contention.
6) IF KA LOSE AND Miami Sharks WIN then KA would be eliminated from NFL division contention.
7) IF DK LOSE AND Ohh Kill 'Em WIN then DK would be eliminated from playoff contention (due to point differential).

Thoughts: UFL Division is all but locked up it's essentially just a matter of time barring an outright collapse from Tots. AFL Division is essentially locked up with CLO taking a one basically two game lead over the Purists who just aren't up to CLO's caliber at this time. The NFL division is all of a sudden open between Sharks and Ohh Kill 'Em. Ohh Kill 'Em currently has a tight hold on the wildcard race up 1.5-2 games on all their competitors, while this isn't an insurmountable lead by any means, people need Boles to start taking some losses soon. The other idea is that the Sharks could fall into the wildcard race but they would be up 2-2.5 games on their competitors and with the large scoring edge they would essentially be 3 games ahead, so the Sharks would have to full on collapse for their spot to really be in jeopardy, not saying it can't happen but those in the wildcard race would be a lot smarter to root for Ohh Kill 'Em to fall back rather than the Sharks.
Here's how the schedule shapes up for those currently in the wildcard conversation.

2. Miami Sharks (7-3): Tots, Purists, DK, KA
4. Ohh Kill 'Em (6-3-1): GS, KA, Lions, Kings
5. Super Manning (5-5): Purists, CLO, Tots, Lions
6. Carolina Lions (5-5): BSL, G.Squad, OK, SM
7. Purists (5-5): SM, Sharks, BSL, CLO
8. K.Adams (4-5-1): Kings, OK, CLO, Sharks
9. D.Kings (4-5-1): KA, Gio, Sharks, OK

CONTRIBUTED BY SUPER MANNING'S OWNER, Phillip Bullock 


Hardest Remaining SOS by ppg

1.       Purists- 80.1 ppg, remaining opponents ppg- 96.9
Projected W-L last 4 (1-3)
Overall (6-8)

2.       Kory- 86.6 ppg, remaining opp ppg- 93.15
WL- (2-2) (6-7-1)

3.       SM- 95.8 ppg, remaining opp ppg 92.35
WL (3-1) (8-6)

4.       Tots- 93.6 ppg, rem opp ppg 90.125 (2-2) (10-4)
5.       Gio- 73.9 ppg, rem opp ppg 80.95 (1-3) (3-10-1)
6.       BSL- 79.1, rem opp ppg 89.2 WL (0-4) (3-11)
7.       DK- 73.8, rem opp ppg 88.275 (0-4) (4-9-1)
8.       Lions- 89.5, rem opp ppg 87.725 (2-2) (7-7)
9.       Boles- 86.1, rem opp ppg 84.95 (1-3) (7-6-1)
10.   Clo- 106.2, rem opp ppg 84.1 (4-0) (10-4)
11.   Sharks- 106.5, rem opp ppg 83.525 (4-0) (11-3)
12.   Goon 89.9, rem opp ppg 80.85 (4-0) (7-7)



Week 11 Match Up Preview

Scott's Tots 8-2 AT Miami Sharks 7-3 (-1)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Sharks)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)

This first place match up pits two teams that have been playing fantasy against each other for around 5 years now. The Miami Sharks, defending league champion, have occupied the #1 spot in the league all year up until this week and are now looking to take that spot right back, while the Tots are looking to keep rolling and tie the Sharks' record of 7 straight victories. The winner of this game is basically all but a lock to occupy the #1 seed. The Sharks roll in with huge questions at the quarterback position but are one of the few teams that can boast a better running back duo than the Tots, the receivers are essentially a toss up between these two teams, but where the Sharks get their big edge is of course at tight end with Jimmy Graham. Give me the Sharks 113-112. 
Difference Maker: TE Jimmy Graham, Miami Sharks - I don't know what was going on in the Cowboys game but if Graham is used that sparingly it is going to be a huge problem for the Sharks. If Graham can get back to his normal usage the Sharks should be able to emerge from this battle in first place but if not the Tots may be the new class of the league. 

Purists 5-5 AT Super Manning 5-5 (-10)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 SM)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)

Rewind a year ago back when the Purists were the BiPolar Bears these same two teams squared off in Week 11. Some people remember the three game win streak the BiPolar Bears went on to finish 7-6-1 and just a half game back from winning the AFL Division, but few remember if they would have beat Super Manning in Week 11 and started that win streak one week earlier they would have been playoff bound. This year both teams know what's on the line and yes either team could maybe find a way in at 8-6 somehow if Ohh Kill 'Em goes 1-3 or worse or if the Sharks go 0-4 and while that could happen (the Boles thing obviously more likely), looking at this realistically these teams probably need to win out to be dancing. Going 9-5 and hoping for Boles to go 2-2 over the final four is much more doable. Enough about all of that though, lets get to the game. Anthony could not have picked a better week to play Super Manning as Peyton Manning and Demaryius Thomas are going up against arguably the best defense in the league and provide him with a little hope that Manning and DT will be held below their normal elite output. Even with that hope I'm still taking Super Manning 89-79.
Difference Maker: WR Andre Johnson, Super Manning - The man has been on fire since Keenum took over and is far superior to any receiver the Purists currently roster (except perhaps Harvin but he's far from full strength yet). 

CLO Collins 6-4 AT Gio's Odyssey 2-7-1 (+9)
All Time H2H Regular Season (3-0)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)

Gio's Odyssey is fresh off a win but you'd be hard pressed to find someone to pick them in this game, although it could be closer than many suspect. The most interesting part about this game though maybe finding out who CLO starts as his flex, will he roll with one of his supposed to be studs who are listed on every bust list for fantasy this year TRich or Ray Rice, or does he roll with Steve Johnson or even Amendola? In the end for this game it won't matter but it does show how vulnerable this team, once thought to have insane depth, really is to an injury. Give me CLO 95-86.
Difference Maker: WR Calvin Johnson, CLO Collins - Red hot lately, there's a chance you'll be able to take whatever John's receivers combine for it and multiply it by 3 and come up short of Megas total.


Goonsquad 3-7 AT Ohh Kill 'Em 6-3-1 (+3)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 OK)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)

While you can write off Goonsquad in the playoff race I wouldn't be so quick to write them off in this game (the Sharks and every wildcard competitor hope I'm right). Boles may have the better team by a slight margin especially with Dez out but he sees his quarterback playing against Carolina this week, while Welker is matched up against KC, so it could be a down week for Ohh Kill 'Em. In the end I'll take the Goonsquad to find success a little too late 94-91.
Difference Maker: QB Andrew Luck, Goonsquad - Should rebound nicely this Thursday night and his point differential compared to that of Brady could be enough to swing things in this one. 



Beat Skeet Leave 3-7 AT Carolina Lions 5-5 (+11)
All Time H2H Regular Season (2-1 Lions)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)

Just when it looked like BSL was finally turning the corner in their disappointing season, they go an drop a game to Gio's Odyssey. Beat Skeet Leave is for all intensive purposes done for 2013, but that doesn't mean they can't still ruin some other teams' seasons along the way. Carolina Lions are the most up and down team in the league, there's just no consistency here. At 5-5 and with a pretty nice schedule the Lions are still alive but they're going to have to put together a string of consistently good games needing to most likely go 4-0 over this stretch to punch a ticket to the dance. With that being said there's no way around it, this game is most likely a must win for the Lions, unfortunately BSL looks to have slightly more talent while drawing much better match ups. (It's going to be tough sledding for Ridley against Carolina). Give me BSL 100-89.
Difference Maker: HB Alfred Morris, BSL - Finally starting to really heat up, this is the guy that makes the BSL team go and I'd look for him to have another solid day against Philly. 


Kory Adams 4-5-1 AT Dynasty Kings 4-5-1
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-1-1)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)

Obvious must win for both of these teams that have played themselves to a 1-1-1 draw through their 3 all time match ups. Both are long shots to find their way into the postseason but if they get hot and win out 8-5-1 just might be enough to get it done. Looking at this game, obviously Kory has the better team, but fortunately for Dynasty Kings, he may have the better match ups. Drew Brees going against SF, AJ Green against Joe Haden, Gronk against Carolina should be enough to slow Kory down and keep this game competitive. The Kings have some solid match ups but are definitely gonna need some luck, I'll take Kory Adams 81-74 to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
Difference Maker: HB Andre Ellington, Kory Adams - Kory is going to need one of his backs to step up and with Sproles going against SF he may be relying on the young speedy back Ellington. If Ellington has a solid game Kory should be able to pull out the win but if he has a slow game in his complementary role the door could open for a Kings' upset.



Power Rankings Week #11

1A. Miami Sharks 7-3 Prv. #1 - While they don't currently possess the best record I still think their team deserves this ranking. The leader in points featuring the #1 and #2 backs along with the #1 tight end, also just recently received a QB upgrade. 

1B. Scott's Tots 8-2 Prv. #2 - Before the Tots get complaining they'll have their chance this weekend to show they deserve the top spot by themselves. The Tots winners of six in a row are looking like a legit Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II contender.

3. CLO Collins 6-4 Prv. #3 - While this team doesn't look as strong as it once did prior to the Dez trade, it is still unquestionably an elite team in this league and will be one of the four teams that find themselves in the playoffs 2 wins away from a championship.

4. Ohh Kill 'Em 6-3-1 Prv. #4 - Pulled off their biggest win of the year beating the Sharks and are now the heavy favorite to win the wildcard and go to the dance.

5. Super Manning 5-5 Prv. #7 - So hard to pick a 5th team but out of the teams currently out of the playoff race Super Manning definitely has the highest upside with Peyton and DT able to go off together any given week.

6. Carolina Lions 5-5 Prv. #5 - Up and down all season the Lions will need to finish the season on a constant high note to bring their two faced team into the playoffs. 

7. Purists 5-5 Prv. #6 - Missed a huge opportunity last week but it was a game they were expected to lose. Somehow through all the bad luck this season this team is still alive, that's an accomplishment in and of itself. 

8. Kory Adams 4-5-1 Prv. #10 - This team with Brees, Murray, AJG, and Gronk should not be in the situation it's in but unfortunately even with all that talent Kory is a big time longshot to sneak into the playoffs.

9. Goon Squad 3-7 Prv. #8 - Similar to Kory, with the amount of talent on this team it is embarrassing that they are 3-7. The Squad should be able to return most of this roster for 2014 and with a tweak or two be a real competitor.

10. Dynasty Kings 4-5-1 Prv. #8 - It was a nice and fun run while it lasted but barring a crazy string of luck the Dynasty Kings should return their focus to 2014.

11. Gio's Odyssey 2-7-1 Prv. #12 - Beating BSL and with RG3, Gio, Bell, Austin all having shown flashes this year, John looks to be headed in the right direction for sure.

12. Beat Skeet Leave 3-7 Prv. #11 - Need Spiller to get right for 2014 and could compete. Spiller/Morris/MJD/Cobb/Garcon is a solid core for 2014, it should've been for 2013 but I don't know what happened this year and I know Andrew probably doesn't either. 
4


Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Week 9 Recap/Week 10 Preview/Power Rankings


Week 9: Top 5 Story Lines

1. Holy Andre! Thanks to Andre3000 helping Super Manning topple Ohh Kill 'Em and some other happenings this week, the Wildcard Race is now wide open and Super Manning leads the way. Thanks to Robbie Gould, Ohh Kill 'Em is currently in sole possession of the Wildcard lead.

2. Scott's Tots defeated CLO Collins to advance to 7-2 and the race for the #1 seed is now a 2 man race (Sharks and Tots).

3. Goonsquad showed their immense unrealized potential posting 115 points and coming up just short against the league's arguably #1 team. While at 3-6 it'd probably take a mini miracle for them to climb back into the playoff picture, they have put everyone on notice that you can't take the Goonsquad lightly. This same thing can apply on some level to BSL with Spiller getting right finally.

4. The Carolina Lions continue their Dr. Jekyll/Mr. Hyde type ways exploding for 128 after posting a combined 115 over the previous two weeks. At 5-4 they are currently a half game back of the wildcard lead.

5. The Purists are all of a sudden a half game back of the wildcard, and get this, tied for the division lead. Percy may come back next week and he couldn't pick a better time as the Purists face a big time test matching up against CLO Collins.

Current Playoff Picture (5 Games Left)
1. Miami Sharks 7-2
2. Scott's Tots 7-2
3. CLO Collins 5-4
4. Ohh Kill 'Em 5-3-1
-----------------------------------
5. Carolina Lions 5-4 GB. 1/2
6. Purists 5-4 GB. 1/2
7. Dynasty Kings 4-4-1 GB. 1
8. Super Manning 4-5 GB. 1.5
9. Kory Adams 3-5-1 GB. 2
10. Goon Squad 3-6 GB. 2.5
11. Beat Skeet Leave 3-6 GB. 2.5
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-7-1 GB. 4

Clinched/Eliminated: 1) Gio's Odyssey has been eliminated from #1 and #2 seed contention.

Playoff Clinching Scenarios: 1) Gio's Odyssey would be eliminated from AFL Division contention with a Loss AND A CLO/Purists win (so as long as they don't tie).
2) Gio's Odyssey would be eliminated from Wildcard contention with a Loss OR an Ohh Kill 'Em Win.
3) Kory Adams would be eliminated from NFL Division contention with a Loss AND a Miami Sharks Win.
4) BSL/GS would be out of #1 seed contention with a Loss OR a Miami Sharks Win OR a Scotts Tots WIN (most wins BSL can get is 8 and with the point differential there is no realistic way they'd catch the Sharks/Tots).
5) BSL/GS would be out of #2 seed contention with a Loss OR a Miami Sharks Win AND Scott's Tots Win.
6) BSL would be out of UFL Division contention with a Loss OR a Scott's Tots Win (due to point differential)
7) Kory Adams would be out of #1 seed contention with a Loss AND a Miami Sharks Win OR a Scott's Tots Win.
8) Kory Adams would be out of #2 seed contention with a Loss AND a Miami Sharks Win AND a Scott's Tots Win.

Thoughts: Obviously it seems as though the NFL and UFL Divisions are locked and just looking at line ups I'd still say CLO Collins has the AFL on lock unless Anthony and the Purists can pull off some magic. The division races may be lacking but this Wildcard race has the potential to be one of the best playoff races I've ever seen in fantasy. Below is a list of the final five opponents for the main wildcard competitors sorry for leaving you guys out (BSL and Gio).
4. OK (5-3-1): Sharks, GS, KA, Lions, Kings
5. L (5-4): KA, BSL, G.Squad, OhhK, SM
6. P (5-4): CLO, SM, Sharks, BSL, CLO
7. DK (4-4-1): Tots, KA, Gio, Sharks, OK
8. SM (4-5): GSquad, Purists, CLO, Tots, Lions
9. KA (3-5-1): Lions, Kings, OK, CLO, Sharks
10. GS (3-6): SM, OK, Lions, Gio, Gio

Every team plays plenty of wildcard contenders over their remaining five games which means if any one of these teams can just take care of their own business for the most part (can probably afford to slip up once or twice depending on your current record, or not at all if GS or KA) they can punch a ticket. My take on this is I like Goonsquad as a deep sleeper pick they have the talent and the schedule to really win out and punch a ticket at 8-6 but it's unlikely for even the best teams to win 5 straight games so that's highly unlikely. A more realistic scenario is the wildcard being decided the last week between the OK-DK and L-SM games. The fact remains however this is beyond wide open anyone of these teams could walk away with the 4 seed and be two wins away from winning Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II.

 
Week 10 Match Up Preview
 
 
Ohh Kill 'Em 5-3-1 AT Miami Sharks 7-2 (+3)
All Time H2H Regular Season (2-0-1 Sharks)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Miami Sharks with a win in this game would all but officially lock up the NFL Division title. 2) Miami Sharks need to win to keep pace with Scott's Tots for the #1 seed. 3) Ohh Kill 'Em with a win would continue to hold their wildcard lead and looking at the other match ups around the league could realistically increase it to a 1.5 game lead. 4) Ohh Kill 'Em with a win would be a 1/2 game back of the division and the #2 seed. 5) Ohh Kill 'Em with a loss can forget about the division and could potentially fall back by a 1/2 game in the wildcard race.
 
Game Overview: All wildcard competitors will have their eyes on this game and rooting hard for the Sharks. The Sharks have never lost to Boles but with no Charles or Gordon they are in a slightly vulnerable position. However they definitely have the talent to make up for it and should still post a solid outing on Sunday. Ohh Kill 'Em on the other hand is at full strength and if Chris Johnson is really back they hold the upper hand in this one. I'm taking Ohh Kill 'Em 102-99.


Difference Maker: HB Chris Johnson, Ohh Kill 'Em - This is a no doubter. If CJ0K is back he should outscore whatever #2 halfback the Sharks end up starting and that could be the difference maker here. If CJ isn't back then this game moves back in favor of the Sharks.


Scott's Tots 7-2 AT Dynasty Kings 4-4-1 (+17)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kings)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Scott's Tots with a win would have at least a 2 game lead in the division possibly 3 with just 4 games left, and would essentially lock up the UFL division and a worst to first year. 2) Scott's Tots needs to win to keep pace with the Sharks for the #1 seed. 3) Dynasty Kings with a win could find themselves in a great position as it's very realistic that all other wildcard teams could lose. 4) A loss would not doom the Dynasty Kings but they could fall 2 back of the wildcard potentially if Ohh Kill 'Em wins and with the point differential it'd basically be 3 back.
 
Game Overview: Dynasty Kings needs a mini miracle to win this one but they actually don't match up that bad. It wouldn't be crazy to think DK's QB and WR's could outscore those of the Tots. Where they really don't match up is at running back but if Ben Tate is the lone carrier in the Houston backfield this week he could come close to matching Forte and with no Rodgers for Green Bay, Philly will stack the box and could potentially limit Lacy. If the Dynasty Kings get a couple bounces going their way this upset could very well happen. With that said I'm taking Tots 97-80.
Difference Maker: HB Matt Forte, Tots - Could potentially score double what the King's runningback core scores by himself.
 
 
Gio's Odyssey 1-7-1 AT Beat Skeet Leave 3-6 (-10)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 BSL)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Not much really, but BSL could potentially rally back with Spiller finally going who knows 5 straight wins is possible. Has to start with this game though.
 
Game Overview: Two teams that could both potentially be big time factors in 2014 square off in this one. Unfortunately this is not 2013, but this should still be a good game though just not much on the line. I'll take BSL 91-81 as their team is starting to come together.
Difference Maker: HB CJ Spiller, BSL - Spiller is a super star and he looks like he may finally be getting right again and now draws a Pittsburgh run D that is letting running backs just have their way with them.
 

 
Kory Adams 3-5-1 AT Carolina Lions 5-4 (-11)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kory)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) If Kory loses this week you can basically bury his 2013 chances at 3-6-1 with a Shark and CLO game left it would take a miracle of Biblical proportions to get in. 2) The Lions with a win could easily find themselves leading or in a tie for the lead for the wildcard after this week, a loss wouldn't doom them but would significantly hurt their chances if Ohh Kill 'Em was to get a win. 3) Kory is essentially out of the division race but could be officially out with a loss and Sharks win. 4) Carolina Lions with a win and Tots loss would all of a sudden have a realistic shot at the division if the opposite happened they'd be all but officially out of it.
 
Game Overview: No Gronk and no Sproles looks to be a huge problem for Kory Adams this week. While the teams match up somewhat evenly throughout the rest of their starting line ups, somehow the Lions have a significant edge at runningback with Moreno and Mike James. In a big time game for both teams playoff chances I expect to hear the Lions roar 94-83.
Difference Maker: HB Mike James, Carolina Lions - This may be one of my only shots to ever put Mike James in the difference maker category in UDFFL history so I'm taking it. He is better than whoever Kory will end up starting as his HB2 and will pull out the win for the Lions on Monday Night.
 
 
Purists 5-4 AT CLO Collins 5-4 (-22)
All Time H2H Regular Season (2-0 Purists)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) This game is huge for the Purists, if they win this not only would they be looking like a legit wildcard contender, heck they would be one game up in the division with just 4 to play. This could easily be touted as the biggest game so far in franchise history for Ant. 2) On the opposing side if CLO blows this game, despite having the 2nd highest scoring team in the league he would all of a sudden be sitting a game out of the division and potentially a game to a game and a half out of the wildcard. Not time to panic due to how good the roster is and Ants harder schedule but not exactly the place they want to be either. 3) On the flip side if CLO wins he would essentially wrap up the division and the Purists would be sitting a game to a game and a half out of the wildcard with unquestionably the toughest schedule left.
 
Game Overview: On paper this looks like a no brainer but I will say there is a little room for an upset here. Now I'd still take CLO 9 out of 10 times but I could see a scenario where Gore/Gonzalez get shut down and Cruz has a rough game with his neck injury and the Giants' ineptitude also have to think Colts will stack the box as much as possible after Stacy's huge break out game, and Chicago will have Tillman + bracket coverage on Mega, the Purists have some very solid match ups and things look to finally be going their way. I don't know CLO deserves to be heavily favored and 90% of the time he's going to win this one but I've just got a feeling here give me the Purists 95-91.
Difference Maker: HB Lamar Miller, Purists - The monster break out game is coming, the mini break out game was Thursday but if it wasn't for a few missed opportunities he could have had a 20+ fantasy point game. No better time for it to come than against CLO and the Bucs on Monday Night. I think Miller goes off for 150 yards and a TD and helps the Purists upset CLO.
 
 

Super Manning 4-5 AT Goonsquad 3-6 (PK)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 SM)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) This is a must win for Goonsquad there's no other way around it, a win and they could be as little as 1.5 games back for the wildcard next week with unquestionably the easiest remaining schedule. 2) While this isn't as much of a must win for Super Manning they could still be only 1.5 back with a loss but they could potentially be 2-2.5 games back if any of their competitors get a win with 4 games left to play and Tots and CLO still remaining, not ideal. 3) A win for Super Manning could get them as little as a half game back and put them right in the mix, let's be honest with their schedule remaining this is pretty much a must win for Super Manning as well. 4) With a loss the Goonsquad's 2013 season would effectively be over regardless of how easy their remaining schedule is.
 
Game Overview: Super Manning could not be happier to get Peyton and DT back in his line up after watching Alex Smith post a 4 for him last week, unfortunately for him he's matched up against a Goon Squad team that exploded last week even without much contribution from Dez. This should be one of the more interesting games of the week, but with GS having a pretty significant advantage at halfback I have to roll with them in a barn burner 110-109.
Difference Maker: HB Marshawn Lynch, Goon Squad - It would be a good week for the Super Mannings if Helu+Mathews combined for as much as Lynch scores this week.
 
 
Power Rankings Week #10
 
1. Miami Sharks 7-2 Prv. #1A - Look to have fixed their hole at QB with the Cutler/Roeth combo and if God willing their line up stays healthy and excluding byes they will be rolling out Peterson-Charles-Graham as their big three every week, have to be considered the favorite at this point.
 
2. Scott's Tots 7-2 Prv. #3 - The Lacy + Forte combo is running through teams for the Tots and has them looking like a true championship contender. The Rodgers injury may hurt Jordy a bit but this team has a very solid chance at winning the Ultimate Dynasty Bowl this year.
 
3. CLO Collins 5-4 Prv. #1B - The luck has not been with CLO this season but the good news is with his outstanding runningback depth, Ray Rice and Trent Richardson busting isn't enough to sink them.
 
4. Ohhh Kill 'Em 5-3-1 Prv. #5 - Huge win over Super Manning has them in sole possession of the wildcard lead and looking good. A win over the Sharks this week would make them the clear cut wildcard favorite by a large margin.
 
5. Carolina Lions 5-4 Prv. #7 - Exploded last week and while he is up and down, his up is high enough to compete with any team in the league. Has the weakest schedule remaining of other legitimate wildcard contenders (excluding Tick) should be the current favorite to capture the wildcard.
 
6. Purists 5-4 Prv. #8 - Getting hot at the right time, extremely tough schedule over these last 5 but definitely can't be overlooked.
 
7. Super Manning 4-5 Prv. #4 - The loss to Boles and the loss of McFadden are devastating for this team. Peyton, DT, and Andre are good enough that this team could climb back into the mix but their chances are significantly lower than they were a week ago.
 
8. Goonsquad 3-6 Prv. #10 - This team is strong and has a ridiculously weak 5 game stretch coming up, don't rule them out, I'm just saying.
 
9. Dynasty Kings 4-4-1 Prv. #9 - I'm not ruling this team out at all, I still think they have a solid chance to punch a ticket to the playoffs.
 
10. Kory Adams 3-5-1 Prv. #6 - With the schedule coming up and Kory's hole at halfback he is a real longshot to be playing in Week 15.
 
11. Beat Skeet Leave 3-6 Prv. #11 - Team is starting to come on a bit, can probably overlook them in the wildcard race, but I wouldn't overlook them if I was matched up against them.
 
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-7-1 Prv. #12 - The "Lion's Slayer" was a little premature with his trash talk last week, but in 2014 they should still be able to trash talk, but actually be able to back it up a little more.
 


Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Week 8 Recap/Week 9 Preview/Power Rankings

Week 8: Top 5 Story Lines

1. Super Manning got a much needed big time/clutch win toppling the Sharks to improve to 4-4 and stay in the thick of the playoff race.

2. Dynasty Kings have somehow won four in a row and are now tied for the #4 seed and final playoff spot, what.

3. Dropping to 3-5, the Port City Goonsquad's playoff chances looked dim, add in a schedule that features Sharks, Super Manning, Ohhh Kill 'Em, and the Lions over the next four and it's time for Tick to start looking at 2014.

4. The Lions at 4-2 once looked like a lock for a 7-2 record and a very high chance at punching a ticket to the playoffs, however after dropping two gimme games straight (Purists and DK) question marks are lining up. Luke is now supposedly looking to shake things up and make a big splash on the market by potentially dealing Foster.

5. BYE Weeks can kill, and CLO Collins may be finding that out at the worst time as he finds himself without Gore, Mega, and Cruz in a much heralded match up against Scott's Tots.

Current Playoff Picture (6 Games Left)
1. Miami Sharks 6-2
2. Scott's Tots 6-2
3. CLO Collins 5-3
4. Ohh Kill 'Em 4-3-1
------------------------------
5. Dynasty Kings 4-3-1 GB. -
6. Super Manning 4-4 GB. 1/2
7. Carolina Lions 4-4 GB. 1/2
8. Purists 4-4 GB. 1/2
9. Kory Adams 3-4-1 GB. 1
10. Goon Squad 3-5 GB. 1.5
11. Beat Skeet Leave 2-6 GB. 2.5
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-6-1 GB. 3

Thoughts: It'd be pretty shocking to see anyone other than Sharks, Tots, and CLO Collins finish in the top 3 at this point looking at their teams and schedule. While some separation is beginning to take place in the division standings, we're about to have the most incredible wildcard race in the league's short history.
I'd say in no particular order, Ohh Kill 'Em, Dynasty Kings, Super Manning, Carolina Lions, and Kory Adams are all legit contenders for the four seed. I'm excluding the Purists based on their upcoming schedule, even though they've done a great job getting to 4-4 I just don't think they're a legit contender due to talent and scheduling. Goonsquad, BSL, and Gio's Odyssey would all need miracles to be in the playoff conversation.


Week 9 Match Up Preview
 
 
Miami Sharks 6-2 AT Goonsquad 3-5 (+19)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Sharks)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Sharks need to win to keep fending off Scott's Tots and CLO Collins for the #1 seed. 2) Sharks are currently 1.5 games up in the division, with a win and Boles and DK losses can extend lead to seemingly insurmountable 2.5 with 5 to play. 3) GS is facing a must win to have any playoff hope and needs to go on a big time run. A loss and falling to 3-6 would be the final nail in the coffin and it would just be a matter of time before they are officially eliminated.
 
Game Overview: Aside from having no trusted QB currently, the Sharks are a flat out studly team. A foundation built around super star halfbacks Charles and Peterson gives the Sharks enough fire power to be favored any given week and this week against the Goonsquad is no different. While the Goonsquad has a pretty talented team and should be in line for a big week I think they'll come up short against the Sharks, losing 111-92.
Difference Maker: HB Jamaal Charles, Miami Sharks - Charles is matched up directly against GS tailback FJax and in addition to Charles being the more talented back he also gets the significantly easier match up going against Buffalos run D, while Fjax will be struggling to find room to run against KC.
 
 


CLO Collins 5-3 AT Scott's Tots 6-2 (-22)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 CLO)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Scott's Tots is currently tied for the #1 seed, but due to the Sharks and their scoring differential to have a realistic shot they are going to need to finish ahead of the Sharks instead of tied. In a week where the Sharks are expected to win, Tots can't afford to lose this week in race for #1 seed, would essentially be 2 games back with 5 to play. 2) CLO Collins is in a similar boat to the Tots except they're a game back but are actually slightly ahead in points. They must win this game to have a realistic shot at the #1 seed can't afford to fall 2 games back with 5 to play. 3) CLO could potentially be tied in their division if they lose this week, but I wouldn't worry about that they have that division on lock. 4) On the other hand a Tots loss and a Super Manning or even Lions win could open the UFL division race up with the Tots then only one game ahead with a Super Manning game left.
 
Game Overview: The Byes could not have come at a worse time for CLO Collins, they are looking like the underdog in this match up. The big advantage CLO would normally have over the Tots is at receiver but with both Mega and Cruz on BYEs and Dez being dealt to the Goons last week receiver is now his biggest disadvantage. Give me the Tots 107-85 and look for a rematch to take place in December with a championship berth on the line.
Difference Maker: WR Jordy Nelson, Scott's Tots - Under regular cirumstances, CLO Collins would easily have the top receiver in the match up with Megatron, but this week that is not the case. Nelson may very well score more than both receivers CLO ends up starting.
 
 
Ohh Kill 'Em 4-3-1 AT Super Manning 4-4 (-13)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 OK)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Ohh Kill 'Em must win this game to stay in the lead for a wildcard, if they lose they'll fall behind Super Manning and most likely three other teams (DK/P, Lions, KA). 2) Super Manning shares a similar circumstance a loss would put them at 1.5 games back of Boles while most likely falling behind to multiple other teams as well (DK/P, Lions, KA). 3) While a loss by either wouldn't end their wildcard hopes, whichever team loses can basically forget having a shot at the division.
 
Game Overview: Both teams are destroyed by BYEs this week. No Peyton, R.Bush, DT, Welker, Nicks, Fitzgerald, or V.Davis this week. The difference is Super Manning has at least a little depth while Ohh Kill 'Em is going to have to take some serious shots in the dark to get any production this week. Give me Super Manning 85-72.
Difference Maker: HB Darren McFadden, Super Manning - Starting to get rolling somewhat and has a cake match up against Philly. Should out produce both CJ and Tolbert who will be suiting up for Boles.
 
 
Carolina Lions 4-4 AT Gio's Odyssey 1-6-1 (-2)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Gio)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
 
 
Playoff Implications: 1) This is pretty close to a must win for the Lions in the wildcard race a loss could potentially have them fall below five teams in the wildcard chase. It's more of a must win due to who they're playing because they can't afford to blow another gimme game. 2) Obviously a loss would kill the Lions in the division race as well. 3) Gio's Odyssey will stave off total elimination for another week regardless of winning or losing.
 
Game Overview: The Lions have disappointed like no other these past two weeks, blowing games to the Purists and the Kings while failing to top 59 points in either of those games. The Odyssey on the other hand is not as bad as people think being sneakily competitive these past few weeks. I'm going out on a limb and picking the Odyssey in an upset special 82-80.
Difference Maker: HB Arian Foster, Carolina Lions - If Foster suits up full strength then the Lions should be able to pull this one out, but if the hamstrings bothering him and he is somewhat limited then the Odyssey is going to shock Luke this week.
 
 
Dynasty Kings 4-3-1 AT Purists 4-4 (+1)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kings)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Have to win to remain in the wildcard lead, with a win and a Boles loss would have sole possession of the 4th seed by a 1/2 game with 5 to play, with a loss could potentially fall behind (SM/OK, P, Lions, KA). 2) Purists with a win could potentially be tied for the wildcard lead and even their division depending on what happens in the CLO and OK games. 3) With a loss and the Purists remaining schedule you can essentially count them as done can't afford to be 4-5 with (2) games left vs CLO, (1) vs Sharks, and (1) vs Super Manning. 4) Kings with a loss would have any slim chance at stealing the division pretty much turn non existent.
 
Game Overview: These teams match up pretty evenly, both grasping at straws at some positions. The difference is with JT on a bye, the Kings have the advantage at tight end, while the Purists have the advantage at QB. This is essentially a 50/50 game that will leave the winner in a nice spot to continue their unlikely potential run to the playoffs.
Difference Maker: QB Cam Newton, Purists - The Falcons haven't been able to stop anyone and Cam has been red hot. Another 25+ point performance should yield the win for the Purists.
 
 
Beat Skeet Leave 2-6 AT Kory Adams 3-4-1 (-20)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kory)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
 
 
Playoff Implications: 1) Kory Adams has to get a win here, could close the gap to a 1/2 game or keep it at 1 game back, but with games against CLO Collins and the Miami Sharks looming at the end of their season they can't afford to lose this one. Dropping to 3-5-1 with those two games left would be essentially done. 2) BSL is for all intents and purposes done but a win would help them stay officially alive longer.
 
Game Overview: BSL has dropped 5 straight and with Gronk back Kory most likely has too much talent to fall in this game. Where Andrew does have the edge at however is at runningback especially if Murray isn't 100% yet. Even with that edge I still don't expect BSL to be able to win this one, give me Kory 89-69.
Difference Maker: TE Rob Gronkowski, Kory Adams - Gronk is everything BSL was hoping Jared Cook could be and more. The tight end discrepancy will play a large role in Kory Adams getting the victory.
 
 
Power Rankings Week #9
 
 
1A. Miami Sharks 6-2 Prv. #1 - Lacking a consistent QB but a line up featuring Peterson, Charles, Moreno, Gordon, Allen, Graham is hard to beat.
 
1B. CLO Collins 5-3 Prv. #2 - While they could slip up and lose this week, I think most people would rank the Miami Sharks and CLO Collins as the top 2 teams by a good margin.
 
3. Scott's Tots 6-2 Prv. #3 - Distancing themselves in the top 3 and in the UFL division by a good margin. Could get a huge win and advance to 7-2 this week. Scary part should be better in 2014.
 
4. Super Manning 4-4 Prv. #7 - Tough to peg a number 4 team but after upsetting the Sharks this week Phil has shown he can compete. If McFadden continues to play well this team could be dangerous in the postseason.
 
5. Ohh Kill 'Em 4-3-1 Prv. #5 - This team has had some hard luck these past few weeks but still boasts a pretty talented roster centered around R.Bush, Marshall, Welker, and VD.
 
6. Kory Adams 3-4-1 Prv. #6 - Lacks a solid halfback but Brees, AJG, VJax, and Gronk is nothing to sneeze at. Tough late schedule but could be the surprise wildcard.
 
7. Carolina Lions 4-4 Prv. #8 - A very boom or bust team that has unfortunately busted two weeks in a row. Still very much in the thick of things.
 
8. Purists 4-4 Prv. #10 - If they can win this week and then by some miracle get Doug Martin, David Wilson, and Percy Harvin all back soon and actually contributing even with their hard schedule who knows what could happen?
 
9. Dynasty Kings 4-3-1 Prv. #9 - Four wins in a row, but still no one believes in this team, but I think that's the way owner DTG likes it.
 
10. Goon Squad 3-5 Prv. #4 - On paper this team should be a top contender for the wildcard but the good news is they landed Dez Bryant who should be a WR1 for years to come.
 
11. Beat Skeet Leave 2-6 Prv. #11 - Things just haven't gone right for Andrew this year, but he will return a solid core for 2014.
 
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-6-1 Prv. #12 - Young team progressing each week continues to do whatever he can every week to try to pull off a shocking league upset.