Week 9: Top 5 Story Lines
1.
Holy Andre! Thanks to Andre3000 helping Super Manning topple Ohh Kill 'Em and some other happenings this week, the Wildcard Race is now wide open and Super Manning leads the way. Thanks to Robbie Gould, Ohh Kill 'Em is currently in sole possession of the Wildcard lead.
2. Scott's Tots defeated CLO Collins to advance to 7-2 and the race for the #1 seed is now a 2 man race (Sharks and Tots).
3. Goonsquad showed their immense unrealized potential posting 115 points and coming up just short against the league's arguably #1 team. While at 3-6 it'd probably take a mini miracle for them to climb back into the playoff picture, they have put everyone on notice that you can't take the Goonsquad lightly. This same thing can apply on some level to BSL with Spiller getting right finally.
4. The Carolina Lions continue their Dr. Jekyll/Mr. Hyde type ways exploding for 128 after posting a combined 115 over the previous two weeks. At 5-4 they are currently a half game back of the wildcard lead.
5. The Purists are all of a sudden a half game back of the wildcard, and get this, tied for the division lead. Percy may come back next week and he couldn't pick a better time as the Purists face a big time test matching up against CLO Collins.
Current Playoff Picture (5 Games Left)
1. Miami Sharks 7-2
2. Scott's Tots 7-2
3. CLO Collins 5-4
4. Ohh Kill 'Em 5-3-1
-----------------------------------
5. Carolina Lions 5-4 GB. 1/2
6. Purists 5-4 GB. 1/2
7. Dynasty Kings 4-4-1 GB. 1
8. Super Manning 4-5 GB. 1.5
9. Kory Adams 3-5-1 GB. 2
10. Goon Squad 3-6 GB. 2.5
11. Beat Skeet Leave 3-6 GB. 2.5
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-7-1 GB. 4
Clinched/Eliminated: 1) Gio's Odyssey has been eliminated from #1 and #2 seed contention.
Playoff Clinching Scenarios: 1) Gio's Odyssey would be eliminated from AFL Division contention with a
Loss AND A CLO/Purists win (so as long as they don't tie).
2) Gio's Odyssey would be eliminated from Wildcard contention with a
Loss OR an Ohh Kill 'Em Win.
3) Kory Adams would be eliminated from NFL Division contention with a
Loss AND a Miami Sharks Win.
4) BSL/GS would be out of #1 seed contention with a
Loss OR a Miami Sharks Win OR a Scotts Tots WIN (most wins BSL can get is 8 and with the point differential there is no realistic way they'd catch the Sharks/Tots).
5) BSL/GS would be out of #2 seed contention with a
Loss OR a Miami Sharks Win AND Scott's Tots Win.
6) BSL would be out of UFL Division contention with a
Loss OR a Scott's Tots Win (due to point differential)
7) Kory Adams would be out of #1 seed contention with a
Loss AND a Miami Sharks Win OR a Scott's Tots Win.
8) Kory Adams would be out of #2 seed contention with a
Loss AND a Miami Sharks Win AND a Scott's Tots Win.
Thoughts: Obviously it seems as though the NFL and UFL Divisions are locked and just looking at line ups I'd still say CLO Collins has the AFL on lock unless Anthony and the Purists can pull off some magic. The division races may be lacking but this Wildcard race has the potential to be one of the best playoff races I've ever seen in fantasy. Below is a list of the final five opponents for the main wildcard competitors sorry for leaving you guys out (BSL and Gio).
4. OK (5-3-1): Sharks, GS, KA, Lions, Kings
5. L (5-4): KA, BSL, G.Squad, OhhK, SM
6. P (5-4): CLO, SM, Sharks, BSL, CLO
7. DK (4-4-1): Tots, KA, Gio, Sharks, OK
8. SM (4-5): GSquad, Purists, CLO, Tots, Lions
9. KA (3-5-1): Lions, Kings, OK, CLO, Sharks
10. GS (3-6): SM, OK, Lions, Gio, Gio
Every team plays plenty of wildcard contenders over their remaining five games which means if any one of these teams can just take care of their own business for the most part (can probably afford to slip up once or twice depending on your current record, or not at all if GS or KA) they can punch a ticket. My take on this is I like Goonsquad as a deep sleeper pick they have the talent and the schedule to really win out and punch a ticket at 8-6 but it's unlikely for even the best teams to win 5 straight games so that's highly unlikely. A more realistic scenario is the wildcard being decided the last week between the OK-DK and L-SM games. The fact remains however this is beyond wide open anyone of these teams could walk away with the 4 seed and be two wins away from winning Ultimate Dynasty Bowl II.
Week 10 Match Up Preview
Ohh Kill 'Em 5-3-1 AT Miami Sharks 7-2 (+3)
All Time H2H Regular Season (2-0-1 Sharks)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
Playoff Implications: 1) Miami Sharks with a win in this game would all but officially lock up the NFL Division title. 2) Miami Sharks need to win to keep pace with Scott's Tots for the #1 seed. 3) Ohh Kill 'Em with a win would continue to hold their wildcard lead and looking at the other match ups around the league could realistically increase it to a 1.5 game lead. 4) Ohh Kill 'Em with a win would be a 1/2 game back of the division and the #2 seed. 5) Ohh Kill 'Em with a loss can forget about the division and could potentially fall back by a 1/2 game in the wildcard race.
Game Overview: All wildcard competitors will have their eyes on this game and rooting hard for the Sharks. The Sharks have never lost to Boles but with no Charles or Gordon they are in a slightly vulnerable position. However they definitely have the talent to make up for it and should still post a solid outing on Sunday. Ohh Kill 'Em on the other hand is at full strength and if Chris Johnson is really back they hold the upper hand in this one. I'm taking Ohh Kill 'Em 102-99.
Difference Maker: HB Chris Johnson, Ohh Kill 'Em - This is a no doubter. If CJ0K is back he should outscore whatever #2 halfback the Sharks end up starting and that could be the difference maker here. If CJ isn't back then this game moves back in favor of the Sharks.
Scott's Tots 7-2 AT Dynasty Kings 4-4-1 (+17)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kings)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
Playoff Implications: 1) Scott's Tots with a win would have at least a 2 game lead in the division possibly 3 with just 4 games left, and would essentially lock up the UFL division and a worst to first year. 2) Scott's Tots needs to win to keep pace with the Sharks for the #1 seed. 3) Dynasty Kings with a win could find themselves in a great position as it's very realistic that all other wildcard teams could lose. 4) A loss would not doom the Dynasty Kings but they could fall 2 back of the wildcard potentially if Ohh Kill 'Em wins and with the point differential it'd basically be 3 back.
Game Overview: Dynasty Kings needs a mini miracle to win this one but they actually don't match up that bad. It wouldn't be crazy to think DK's QB and WR's could outscore those of the Tots. Where they really don't match up is at running back but if Ben Tate is the lone carrier in the Houston backfield this week he could come close to matching Forte and with no Rodgers for Green Bay, Philly will stack the box and could potentially limit Lacy. If the Dynasty Kings get a couple bounces going their way this upset could very well happen. With that said I'm taking Tots 97-80.
Difference Maker: HB Matt Forte, Tots - Could potentially score double what the King's runningback core scores by himself.
Gio's Odyssey 1-7-1 AT Beat Skeet Leave 3-6 (-10)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 BSL)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
Playoff Implications: 1) Not much really, but BSL could potentially rally back with Spiller finally going who knows 5 straight wins is possible. Has to start with this game though.
Game Overview: Two teams that could both potentially be big time factors in 2014 square off in this one. Unfortunately this is not 2013, but this should still be a good game though just not much on the line. I'll take BSL 91-81 as their team is starting to come together.
Difference Maker: HB CJ Spiller, BSL - Spiller is a super star and he looks like he may finally be getting right again and now draws a Pittsburgh run D that is letting running backs just have their way with them.
Kory Adams 3-5-1 AT Carolina Lions 5-4 (-11)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 Kory)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
Playoff Implications: 1) If Kory loses this week you can basically bury his 2013 chances at 3-6-1 with a Shark and CLO game left it would take a miracle of Biblical proportions to get in. 2) The Lions with a win could easily find themselves leading or in a tie for the lead for the wildcard after this week, a loss wouldn't doom them but would significantly hurt their chances if Ohh Kill 'Em was to get a win. 3) Kory is essentially out of the division race but could be officially out with a loss and Sharks win. 4) Carolina Lions with a win and Tots loss would all of a sudden have a realistic shot at the division if the opposite happened they'd be all but officially out of it.
Game Overview: No Gronk and no Sproles looks to be a huge problem for Kory Adams this week. While the teams match up somewhat evenly throughout the rest of their starting line ups, somehow the Lions have a significant edge at runningback with Moreno and Mike James. In a big time game for both teams playoff chances I expect to hear the Lions roar 94-83.
Difference Maker: HB Mike James, Carolina Lions - This may be one of my only shots to ever put Mike James in the difference maker category in UDFFL history so I'm taking it. He is better than whoever Kory will end up starting as his HB2 and will pull out the win for the Lions on Monday Night.
Purists 5-4 AT CLO Collins 5-4 (-22)
All Time H2H Regular Season (2-0 Purists)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
Playoff Implications: 1) This game is huge for the Purists, if they win this not only would they be looking like a legit wildcard contender, heck they would be one game up in the division with just 4 to play. This could easily be touted as the biggest game so far in franchise history for Ant. 2) On the opposing side if CLO blows this game, despite having the 2nd highest scoring team in the league he would all of a sudden be sitting a game out of the division and potentially a game to a game and a half out of the wildcard. Not time to panic due to how good the roster is and Ants harder schedule but not exactly the place they want to be either. 3) On the flip side if CLO wins he would essentially wrap up the division and the Purists would be sitting a game to a game and a half out of the wildcard with unquestionably the toughest schedule left.
Game Overview: On paper this looks like a no brainer but I will say there is a little room for an upset here. Now I'd still take CLO 9 out of 10 times but I could see a scenario where Gore/Gonzalez get shut down and Cruz has a rough game with his neck injury and the Giants' ineptitude also have to think Colts will stack the box as much as possible after Stacy's huge break out game, and Chicago will have Tillman + bracket coverage on Mega, the Purists have some very solid match ups and things look to finally be going their way. I don't know CLO deserves to be heavily favored and 90% of the time he's going to win this one but I've just got a feeling here give me the Purists 95-91.
Difference Maker: HB Lamar Miller, Purists - The monster break out game is coming, the mini break out game was Thursday but if it wasn't for a few missed opportunities he could have had a 20+ fantasy point game. No better time for it to come than against CLO and the Bucs on Monday Night. I think Miller goes off for 150 yards and a TD and helps the Purists upset CLO.
Super Manning 4-5 AT Goonsquad 3-6 (PK)
All Time H2H Regular Season (1-0 SM)
All Time H2H Post Season (0-0)
Playoff Implications: 1) This is a must win for Goonsquad there's no other way around it, a win and they could be as little as 1.5 games back for the wildcard next week with unquestionably the easiest remaining schedule. 2) While this isn't as much of a must win for Super Manning they could still be only 1.5 back with a loss but they could potentially be 2-2.5 games back if any of their competitors get a win with 4 games left to play and Tots and CLO still remaining, not ideal. 3) A win for Super Manning could get them as little as a half game back and put them right in the mix, let's be honest with their schedule remaining this is pretty much a must win for Super Manning as well. 4) With a loss the Goonsquad's 2013 season would effectively be over regardless of how easy their remaining schedule is.
Game Overview: Super Manning could not be happier to get Peyton and DT back in his line up after watching Alex Smith post a 4 for him last week, unfortunately for him he's matched up against a Goon Squad team that exploded last week even without much contribution from Dez. This should be one of the more interesting games of the week, but with GS having a pretty significant advantage at halfback I have to roll with them in a barn burner 110-109.
Difference Maker: HB Marshawn Lynch, Goon Squad - It would be a good week for the Super Mannings if Helu+Mathews combined for as much as Lynch scores this week.
Power Rankings Week #10
1. Miami Sharks 7-2 Prv. #1A - Look to have fixed their hole at QB with the Cutler/Roeth combo and if God willing their line up stays healthy and excluding byes they will be rolling out Peterson-Charles-Graham as their big three every week, have to be considered the favorite at this point.
2. Scott's Tots 7-2 Prv. #3 - The Lacy + Forte combo is running through teams for the Tots and has them looking like a true championship contender. The Rodgers injury may hurt Jordy a bit but this team has a very solid chance at winning the Ultimate Dynasty Bowl this year.
3. CLO Collins 5-4 Prv. #1B - The luck has not been with CLO this season but the good news is with his outstanding runningback depth, Ray Rice and Trent Richardson busting isn't enough to sink them.
4. Ohhh Kill 'Em 5-3-1 Prv. #5 - Huge win over Super Manning has them in sole possession of the wildcard lead and looking good. A win over the Sharks this week would make them the clear cut wildcard favorite by a large margin.
5. Carolina Lions 5-4 Prv. #7 - Exploded last week and while he is up and down, his up is high enough to compete with any team in the league. Has the weakest schedule remaining of other legitimate wildcard contenders (excluding Tick) should be the current favorite to capture the wildcard.
6. Purists 5-4 Prv. #8 - Getting hot at the right time, extremely tough schedule over these last 5 but definitely can't be overlooked.
7. Super Manning 4-5 Prv. #4 - The loss to Boles and the loss of McFadden are devastating for this team. Peyton, DT, and Andre are good enough that this team could climb back into the mix but their chances are significantly lower than they were a week ago.
8. Goonsquad 3-6 Prv. #10 - This team is strong and has a ridiculously weak 5 game stretch coming up, don't rule them out, I'm just saying.
9. Dynasty Kings 4-4-1 Prv. #9 - I'm not ruling this team out at all, I still think they have a solid chance to punch a ticket to the playoffs.
10. Kory Adams 3-5-1 Prv. #6 - With the schedule coming up and Kory's hole at halfback he is a real longshot to be playing in Week 15.
11. Beat Skeet Leave 3-6 Prv. #11 - Team is starting to come on a bit, can probably overlook them in the wildcard race, but I wouldn't overlook them if I was matched up against them.
12. Gio's Odyssey 1-7-1 Prv. #12 - The "Lion's Slayer" was a little premature with his trash talk last week, but in 2014 they should still be able to trash talk, but actually be able to back it up a little more.